AI-driven BTC risk signals and scenario forecasts.
Early-warning indicators, volatility regimes, and probability-weighted scenarios—built for monitoring, not hype.
BTC/USDT Risk
ModerateHow it Works
Ingest Signals
Aggregate real-time data from derivatives markets, on-chain metrics, and macro indicators.
Model Regimes
Apply machine learning models to identify volatility regimes and market stress patterns.
Publish Forecasts
Generate probability-weighted scenarios and early-warning alerts for risk monitoring.
Methodology
Our system collects a comprehensive variety of cryptocurrency and general market data to provide balanced risk assessments for the current day and nearest future.
The methodology integrates multiple data sources including:
Derivatives Data
Open interest, funding rates, spot vs derivatives volume ratios, and taker buy/sell ratios
On-Chain Metrics
Exchange inflows, net flows, and miner activity patterns
Technical Analysis
Multi-timeframe analysis (4H, 1D, 1W) with moving averages (MA50, MA100, MA200, MA350) and RSI indicators
Market Indicators
Price movements, volatility regimes, and liquidation heatmaps
News & Sentiment
Market news and sentiment indicators
Using machine learning models, the system identifies volatility regimes and market stress patterns to generate probability-weighted scenarios and early-warning alerts. This creates a balanced risk assessment that helps monitor structural market conditions.
Disclaimer: This system provides probabilistic forecasts and risk assessments only. This is not financial advice. All forecasts are based on historical patterns and current market data, and should not be used as the sole basis for investment decisions.